Isaac King
$1K
wasabipesto
$3.5K
Six Projects in Search of an Investor - Details inside
Joshua Fleming
$900
A weekly community livestream/discord call where top traders discuss the week's events on Manifold and live-bet with the audience on markets from new users
Aleksandr Putilin
$1.75K
Two prediction market dating show with live betting
$400
Joris Kerkhoff
$2.5K
Automatically mirror popular questions from other platforms to Manifold
cc6
$1.5K
Attract more high school seniors anxious about their college admissions chances
Robert Cousineau
$1.1K
Lets create a new defining addiction for Seattle!
$375
$100
Sends you notifications when markets that you are betting on have a big swing and allows you to set parameters for custom reminders
Evan Daniel
$3K
Explore a market structure that attempts to produce good probability estimates on highly-confident markets.
Emmie Hine
$200
There is a 70% chance that China will tie AI ethics into its Digital Silk Road, releasing a global AI ethics framework targeting developing countries.
Case Sandberg
Doing all the things
Brian T. Edwards
$300
New fortnightly podcast on all things prediction markets
Will Peracchio
There is a 95% chance China will trade internationally with their eCNY CBDC an annual volume in excess of $50bn USD by 2028
Will Howard
$7K
Instead of saying "I want to bet $X on this market" you will say "I think the true probability is Y%", and it will tell you how much to bet
Saul Munn
$9.2K
Intercollegiate Forecasting Tournament
nikki
$2K
More bots, better predictions!
Valentin Golev
David Rhys Bernard
I will pay 30 superforecasters to make forecasts of long-run treatment effects from randomised control trials
