The ideas within it don't make sense to me, the proposal seems very light on detail of what you would actually be doing, and where there is detail I find myself more confused than I started. Where you describe the protocol of this proposal, you say that you will be testing for AI self awareness though an inverted challenge (?) where if the AI puts significant effort into to solving the challenge (what challenge?) it fails and also if it does not pass, it fails (isn't that redundant)? And doing so somehow forces alignment?

Donating mainly out of interest in the ERT, but also out of appreciation for the Sentinel Minutes

Our first meetup (December 20th) went wonderfully - we had 17 attendees, got manifold usernames/discords from most of them, and had a genuinely fun time. I believe there were 5 new users.

I got distracted over the holidays, so our second meetup (yesterday) was poorly advertised and got much lower attendance. I'm about to set up a weekly series though to both make up for the missed week, and to help make it more of a 'thing' (as David suggests below).

Stefanie has also been a wonderful help!

I'm really hopeful for this! College admissions are really stressful, there is an existing market for likelihood of admission, and the group of people who would even think about probabilities of college are noticeably more likely than the general population to like manifold. Further, @cc6 is positioned well to get a first set of users (and it could also separately be quite valuable to/get early users from proofniks, who already sporadically make markets like he is describing).

@DusanDNesic that lesswrong writeup is awesome. I've been wanting to set something like CEEALAR (or even just a co=working space like you have) in the US, but finding something that is near/in a major metro and is cheap enough I can fund it is very tough. Quite happy you are doing so in Belgrade!

That is a nice guest list!

Out of personal curiosity, I'd be interested in a write-up (quarterly?) of what is going on, but it seem like you are ahead of the game there so far :)

Are you able to provide more information about the office space you are looking at, the expected monthly cost, if you have people you know would take you up on it, etc?

We're having our first meetup!

Bet on attendance here. Bet on attendee attributes here.

Thanks to everyone who helped fund it!

I have found Isaac's work on the search function to make my time on manifold much more valuable (I've even paypaled him for it prior to this). Discoverability for older markets is so much better with it than without, allowing us to have accurate probabilities for lower interest questions while still taking less new user attention for them. It gives a much more information dense view than the normal Manifold search, which is beautiful. I have faith the further improvements he makes will be wonderful!