Project summary

A website where students can use their Common App profile to create an automatically resolving Manifold Market to forecast their college admissions chances. Hopefully this will bring a lot of new users to the site

What are this project's goals and how will you achieve them?

• Understand Common App API (it's not well documented)

• Create website where people can authorize it to use their Common App credentials

• Set up system that creates market based on student profile that allows students to edit it and remove personal info

• Set up system that resolves markets after decisions come out using Common App API

• Special search function for things (eg. race, gender, income, to find markets with those characteristics)
  

How will this funding be used?

To pay for the domain and any other miscellaneous costs.

Who is on your team and what's your track record on similar projects?

I successfully created the Remind Me bot and did a project at a startup company to help them get more clients

What are the most likely causes and outcomes if this project fails? (premortem)

The Common App API may only be accessible for schools or not give me the information that I need about the students. It also may be too annoying for people to authorize the website to see their profile. In this case, I can have people resolve their own markets but this runs the risk of people not coming back at the end of the year.

What other funding are you or your project getting?

None

Update 12/17: Although I've been without a computer so I'm unable to do any actual programming, I've spent quite a bit of time researching my userbase and I think I have a good plan for when I get back from vacation.

Update 12/21: I've decided that at least for this year I'm not going to use the Common App API and instead have people self report. There's sensitive info that can be shared in the Common App API and I doubt that people want to hand it over to some random website. Some other misc plans:

• Have people join groups based on their ECs so they can bet on peers

• Reward active bettors by boosting their markets

• If someone does not resolve their market within 2 weeks after closing (might be changed later, timing is tentative), the market will resolve to %

Update 12/29: I'm almost done! Just making some finishing touches

Update 12/31: Finished! Just waiting for approval https://dev-git-fork-chcl6-main-mantic.vercel.app/college

Update 1/19: Live at https://manifold.markets/college