Manifund foxManifund
Home
Login
About
People
Categories
Newsletter
HomeAboutPeopleCategoriesLoginCreate

Funding requirements

Sign grant agreement
Reach min funding
Get Manifund approval
1

"Emergent Depopulation": Translation and Publication

Technical AI safetyAI governanceEA communityForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
🐠

Tomasz Kiliańczyk

ProposalGrant
Closes February 25th, 2026
$0raised
$2,500minimum funding
$2,500funding goal

Offer to donate

30 daysleft to contribute

You're pledging to donate if the project hits its minimum goal and gets approved. If not, your funds will be returned.

Sign in to donate

Project summary

This project aims to formalize, translate, and publish the research paper "Emergent Depopulation: A Scenario Analysis of Systemic AI Risk" in the peer-reviewed Journal of Evolution and Technology (JET). The paper identifies a novel class of existential risk: demographic collapse as an emergent byproduct of multi-layered AI system optimizations. Currently available as a working paper on Zenodo, it has gained significant organic traction with over 1,000 downloads.

https://zenodo.org/records/18075851

Funding is required for professional academic translation and scholarly editing to meet the rigorous standards of international academic discourse.

Universal Cybernetic Model 2025+

Primary goal is to introduce the concept of "Emergent Depopulation" into the official AI Safety and Global Risk discourse. I will achieve this by:

  1. ​Academic Translation: Moving beyond AI-assisted translation to professional human translation specialized in philosophy of technology.

  2. ​Methodological Refinement: Strengthening the paper with scenario analysis frameworks and 10+ key references to the AI Safety canon (Bostrom, Yudkowsky, Ord).

  3. ​Peer-Review Submission: Submitting the finalized manuscript to JET, a leading venue for speculative but rigorous technoprogressive research

How will this funding be used?

Total requested: $2,500 USD

  • ​$1,700: Specialist academic translation from Polish to English (approx. 30 pages).

  • ​$500: Academic proofreading and stylistic editing by a native English speaker.

  • ​$300: Preparation of English-language versions of diagrams and charts for publication standards

Who is on your team? What's your track record on similar projects?

Team: I am the sole author and lead researcher of this project, working as an Independent Researcher.

Track Record: My track record is best demonstrated by the organic success of the Polish version of this report. Without any institutional backing, academic marketing, or funding, the "Emergent Depopulation" working paper achieved over 1,000 downloads on Zenodo in a short period and sparked significant discussion within independent technology and safety circles.

This demonstrates my ability to:

Identify and synthesize complex systemic risks that traditional institutional models often overlook.

Produce high-quality data visualizations and logical frameworks that resonate with a wide audience.

Drive significant "impact per dollar," achieving global reach with zero initial budget.

What are the most likely causes and outcomes if this project fails?

The most likely cause of failure is a rejection during the peer-review process due to the highly speculative/novel nature of the scenario. If this happens, the outcome will be that the idea remains in the informal "pre-print" sphere. However, the professional translation will still allow me to share the findings on Alignment Forum and LessWrong, ensuring the intellectual labor is not lost.

How much money have you raised in the last 12 months, and from where?

$0. I have raised no funds in the last 12 months. The research, data visualization, and initial drafts were conducted entirely pro bono using personal resources.

CommentsOffersSimilar5
anthonyw avatar

Anthony Ware

Shallow Review of AI Governance: Mapping the Technical–Policy Implementation Gap

Identifying operational bottlenecks and cruxes between alignment proposals and executable governance.

Technical AI safetyAI governanceGlobal catastrophic risks
2
1
$0 raised
NeoOdysseus avatar

Giuseppe Dal Pra

Exploring novel approaches to addressing Global Catastrophic Risk through policy

Operational Support for a Pilot Study on Complexity Modelling, Expert Judgement, and Deliberative Democracy for Risk Prioritization and Mitigation

Science & technologyAI governanceForecastingGlobal catastrophic risks
5
5
$0 raised
🐰

Avinash A

Terminal Boundary Systems and the Limits of Self-Explanation

Formalizing the "Safety Ceiling": An Agda-Verified Impossibility Theorem for AI Alignment

Science & technologyTechnical AI safetyGlobal catastrophic risks
1
1
$0 raised
johanf avatar

Johan Fredrikzon

Book: A History of AI x-risk (open access)

Building on a course I've been designing, I'm writing a short book on the history of existential risk from AI for a general audience

Science & technologyTechnical AI safetyAI governanceGlobal catastrophic risks
1
0
$0 raised
gleech avatar

Gavin Leech

Shallow review of AI safety 2024

9
14
$20.9K raised