I asked @wasabipesto to sign up here because calibration city is something I wanted to exist and they built it! So I wanted to reward them for that.
@NathanYoung
Forecaster and Developer
https://twitter.com/NathanpmYoung$0 in pending offers
Forecaster at the Swift Centre. Building tools like Estimaker.app and Viewpoints.xyz . Let's make better decisions!
Nathan Young
4 months ago
I asked @wasabipesto to sign up here because calibration city is something I wanted to exist and they built it! So I wanted to reward them for that.
Nathan Young
about 1 year ago
Thanks for the feedback.
What do you think about "What are this project's goals" section now?
On estimaker, thank you for the advice.
Nathan Young
over 1 year ago
This feels good to me. I have done a little work with Ezra and I trust him to make good markets. Ezra, I thin you've got some markets up already. Could you link them?
Nathan Young
over 1 year ago
Will they manufacture 20+ antiviral candidates? @Brian-Wang when would a good deadline be? https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-panoplia-laboboritories-get-fu
Nathan Young
over 1 year ago
I think it's really cool that you've posted this here. Feels like helping the ecosystem be better connected.
Nathan Young
over 1 year ago
I buy the notion of retroactively sending signals to people who did great work. The community would be healthier, I think if we did this more often.
Nathan Young
over 1 year ago
It seems plausible to me that this could be really effective in giving some cover for slowing down. Good negotiation requires alternatives if negotiation breaks down. Current the AI orgs are playing ball but I want some pushback if they don't. So I'm putting my money where my mouth is.
Nathan Young
over 1 year ago
I want this idea to be tested at greater scale. I think if we can build the processes here then other news orgs can use them. This seems like foundational work.
Nathan Young
almost 2 years ago
Surely I'd need to put all markets and all probs rather than just one?
For | Date | Type | Amount |
---|---|---|---|
Calibration City | 3 months ago | project donation | 10 |
Manifund Bank | 4 months ago | deposit | +10 |
The Base Rate Times | 12 months ago | project donation | 100 |
VaccinateCA | over 1 year ago | project donation | 25 |
Holly Elmore organizing people for a frontier AI moratorium | over 1 year ago | project donation | 100 |
Manifund Bank | over 1 year ago | deposit | +125 |
Manifund Bank | over 1 year ago | deposit | +100 |