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Haruspex [Forecasting Competition Platform]

ACX mini-grantsForecasting
🥦

Arjun Panickssery

Not fundedImpact certificate
$0raised
$1,999valuation

Games

  1. A group of players take turns in a hot seat. The game generates a question (e.g. What's the population of Spain?) and a conversion rate (e.g. 1 game chip for every million people), and the player in the rotating hot seat picks a buy and sell price that begins a round of buying and selling financial instruments that pay out 1 chip for every million people there are in Spain.

  2. Two players alternate between predicting and betting. The game generates a question with a numerical answer (e.g. What was the GDP per capita of Texas in 2022?) and the predictor picks a range (x, 1.1x) in which the answer is predicted to fall. The opponent stakes a selected number of chips on whether the answer is over or under the range.

Why?

  • Games are fun and public leaderboard statistics will create an enjoyable experience that draws people to practicing their forecasting.

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