I interacted a bit with Damien in Tetlock's Hybrid Forecasting-Persuasion Tournament, and I can confirm that he seemed more competent and diligent than most superforecasters.
Peter McCluskey
@PeterMcCluskey
accredited investor
$8,485total balance
$0charity balance
$8,485cash balance
$0 in pending offers
Investments
Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risksbought $276 @ $276K valuation
Collaborative Resolution of Political Controversiesbought $1.24K @ $4.75K valuation
Comments
Transactions
| For | Date | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks | about 2 years ago | user to user trade | +225 |
| Collaborative Resolution of Political Controversies | over 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1239 |
| Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks | over 2 years ago | user to user trade | 501 |
| Manifund Bank | over 2 years ago | deposit | +5000 |
| Manifund Bank | over 2 years ago | deposit | +5000 |