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AntonMakiievskyi avatarAntonMakiievskyi avatar
Anton Makiievskyi

@AntonMakiievskyi

accredited investor

gambler

$1,012total balance
-$1charity balance
$0cash balance

$1,013 in pending offers

About Me

Edit here...

Outgoing donations

Mox, a coworking & events space in SF
$813
PENDING
Gap funding for independent AI safety research
$2000
PENDING
11th edition of AI Safety Camp
$20000
3 months ago
10th edition of AI Safety Camp
$2600
4 months ago
Metaculus x Givewell Forecasting Tournament
$1000
5 months ago
Shallow review of AI safety 2024
$1000
6 months ago
Elizabeth and Timothy Podcast on values in Effective Altruism (Funded)
$1300
6 months ago
Fund Sentinel for Q1-2025
$500
7 months ago
80,000 Hours
$50
8 months ago
Giving What We Can
$500
8 months ago
Making 52 AI Alignment Video Explainers and Podcasts
$50
9 months ago
Lightcone Infrastructure
$200
9 months ago
Effective Giving in New Zealand
$25000
11 months ago
Support a thriving and talented community of Filipino EAs
$10750
12 months ago
A Happier World (YouTube channel promoting EA ideas)
$2000
about 1 year ago
Making 52 AI Alignment Video Explainers and Podcasts
$5000
about 1 year ago
Making 52 AI Alignment Video Explainers and Podcasts
$1942
about 1 year ago
ACX Grants
$100000
over 1 year ago
Run five international hackathons on AI safety research
$2000
over 1 year ago
Run five international hackathons on AI safety research
$3000
over 1 year ago
Evan Hubinger
$100
over 1 year ago
Discovering latent goals (mechanistic interpretability PhD salary)
$1000
over 1 year ago
Alignment Is Hard
$1000
almost 2 years ago
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Research
$790
almost 2 years ago
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Research
$10
almost 2 years ago
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Research
$200
almost 2 years ago

Investments

Telegram bot for Manifold Marketsbought $548 @ $347K valuation
Manifold merch storebought $140 @ $667 valuation
Database of the Most Impactful Research Questions by Discipline and Cause Areabought $365 @ $500 valuation
Isaac's Blog Writingbought $300 @ $1K valuation
Build an app to track ones impact on animal crueltybought $498 @ $1K valuation
Publish a book on Egan education for parentsbought $4.25K @ $5K valuation
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) timelines ignore the social factor at their perilbought $500 @ $2.1K valuation
Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liabilitybought $2.5K @ $5K valuation
Educate the public about high impact causesbought $1.5K @ $2K valuation
Platform for migrants to start legal & profitable microbusinesses.bought $3.25K @ $4K valuation
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and promptsbought $1.03K @ $3.26K valuation
Distribute HPMOR copies in Bangalore, Indiabought $50 @ $1.25K valuation
Start an online editorial journal focusing on paradigm development in psychiatry and psychologybought $5K @ $10K valuation

Trade offers

Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and prompts
Offered to 
BUY
 $200 @ $4K valuation

Comments

Mox, a coworking & events space in SF
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 month ago

I think Austin is exceptionally well positioned for creating the community space in SF and this has a potential of becoming something really special and impactful! I've spent a day here so far, and it feels like a great space to both build stuff, find inspiration and socialize.

I'm donating my remaining Manifund ballance to put some cash behind my supportive statement.

Best of luck!

10th edition of AI Safety Camp
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

4 months ago

Wanted to donate to 11th edition instead

Elizabeth and Timothy Podcast on values in Effective Altruism (Funded)
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

7 months ago

I enjoyed the podcast and found it useful. How many episodes do you expect to release given the minimum funding you indicated of 2600? I'd be more excited to put more funds into this endeavor if you can repeat the success of the first episode

Shallow review of AI safety 2024
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

7 months ago

I appreciated the previous iterations of this review. Trying to encourage more of the same

Giving What We Can
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

9 months ago

They helped me stay on track with my donations, and processed crypto donations which was personally very useful

Lightcone Infrastructure
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

9 months ago

donated to express my appreciation of the Lighthaven and of the outstanding forum engine

80,000 Hours
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

9 months ago

I love the podcast very much!

Effective Giving in New Zealand
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

12 months ago

I have talked with EA New Zealand lead Rowan Clements as part of a Meta charity Funding circle funding process, and both me and another circle member were impressed with her earnestness and humility, as well as with all of what EA NZ have achieved so far.

Another circle member is giving 25k directly

Start an online editorial journal focusing on paradigm development in psychiatry and psychology
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

@Psychcrisis Hey, Jessica! I'm super excited to contribute to your endeavor. If you could post short updates here sometimes (like once a quarter maybe) - I'd appreciate it

Build an app to track ones impact on animal cruelty
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

Adding money to reach the minimum funding bar. @saideep please post ~monthly updates on your progress if you can. It would be interesting and useful to me and others

Platform for migrants to start legal & profitable microbusinesses.
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

@briico It's ok with me, I think it is a great idea, and you are in the best position to assess where the funds would be used the best. My request to you is to post updates on your progress ~once a month. It would be very rewarding and useful for me and others (even if the project fails to achieve it's goals)

Best of luck!

Science prediction markets for replicability
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

manifold is opensource. Why do you want 20k for play money mvp?

A Happier World (YouTube channel promoting EA ideas)
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

I'm a big youtube watcher, and think that price per minute of people's attention is good even at the current numbers and can potentially get at least 1 order of magnitude higher. Hope others will provide more support!

🧡
Educate the public about high impact causes
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

Excited to get the project to the minimum funding bar. Please update once the video is out: it’s success may incentivize more donations/investments

Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and prompts
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

Oh, what a cool project!
A few questions:
1. Who does a job of a human witness in this test? How do you make sure that there is a human online when someone wants to play the "interrogation game"?
2. Have you applied for OpenAI or Claude credits?
3. How about asking users to input their chatgpt API key to play?

In any case, I'm happy to offer money to get this project over a minimum funding bar

Can we expect an update here after a month or two? If it goes well, I will likely be glad to provide more funding

An online science platform
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 1 year ago

Why 1M valuation?

Case's Manifold Contributions Umbrella Project
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

over 1 year ago

@case I meant more like getting a random person to sign up and watching over their shoulder. Analytics is already something though, definitely has to be studied at as well

Case's Manifold Contributions Umbrella Project
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

over 1 year ago

Seems like "Inadequate understanding of user needs, leading to ineffective solutions." could be addressed by user testing. I think it's a necessary step before implementing anything

Manifold corporate blog on Habr
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

over 1 year ago

Are you planning to blog in Russian? I love the idea, just want to see a more concrete plan for execution to assess whether it's worth funding

Empirical research into AI consciousness and moral patienthood
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

over 1 year ago

Love to see this grant! Would be excited to contribute to an extension of this grant if first 5 weeks seem promising to Rob

Long-Term Future Fund
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

over 1 year ago

If LTFF were another regrantor with the 3x boost to any donation, that would have been so awesome. I mean if you agreed to add every project that you are planning to fund publicly here, so that everyone can see what is funded and hopefully get some report when the project is finished.

To be clear, I'm still donating to LTFF until matching funds last, it's too good of a deal it seems

App for personal predictions with friends
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

Have you tried Manifold? What do you want your app to solve that Manifold doesn't?

Telegram bot for Manifold Markets
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

@ValentinGolev : telegram - @IAmMckiev

AI-Plans.com Critique-a-Thon $500 Prize Fund Proposal
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

I think it would make sense to have a higher goal for prizes actually

Run five international hackathons on AI safety research
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

I heard great things about Esben, the previous hackathon went great it seems, and the price to run more rounds is relatively low. I'm excited to see this application and hope it's going to get funded fast

AI-Plans.com Critique-a-Thon $500 Prize Fund Proposal
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

@KabirKumar kudos for the initiative! I hope you'll get a lot of high quality feedback and engagement from AI Safety community. I think it should be an easy "approve" for the regrantors

Neuronpedia - Open Interpretability Platform
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

I wanted to play more of the game, it seemed engaging =) Please sell me a subscription

I can't see usefulness of neuron naming to AI Safety though to be honest. Can't the network generate the explanation itself? Otherwise: how do you score the explanation suggested by the user?

VaccinateCA
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

Very inspiring story. It's heartwarming to see this work recognized and celebrated

Telegram bot for Manifold Markets
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

@AntonMakiievskyi There is still time left before your project is going to be evaluated. As an investor, I'd really love to see it succeed and rewarded

Telegram bot for Manifold Markets
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

@ValentinGolev I don't quite understand what is "internal group-markets". When investing, I was personally excited to see the way to bet on Manifold from inside telegram channel

Alignment Is Hard
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

I encouraged Alexander applying here, based on that some people in Nonlinear Networked like his application and that funding goal is quite low. I don't think 40k budget would be a good bet, but 6k could be worth a try. I'm interested to learn what regrantors think about it

I'll offer 1000$ donation in hope of others adding to it

Apollo Research: Scale up interpretability & behavioral model evals research
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

My biggest concern is that scaling the org too fast could be detrimental, and I have no idea how to judge it besides deferring to people with similar experiences

If scaling Apollo's output is, in fact, limited only by cash - this seems like an amazing grant. At least as good as funding most of the independent folks.

AI Alignment Research Lab for Africa
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

The one goal that may lead to significant impact in my opinion is : "Train and cultivate AI Safety scholars in Africa" - if it has a chance of scouting people who can contribute to "AI notkilleveryoneism". Not sure if establishing a lab in Africa is the most efficient path to that. Probably scholarships or targeted reach out would be more effective

Blackbelt
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

I'd love if such a project could happen, but I find it hard to believe it's possible.

I see how skill tree may be developed for a frequently sought after and well described skill, e.g. "making a pitch deck", or "writing a SQL query".

"Alignemnt" appear to not be that well defined yet

Telegram bot for Manifold Markets
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

@ValentinGolev How is it going so far?

Understanding Memory Management in Transformers
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

I appreciate this application and encouraged Can applying here based on his application to Nonlinear Network. I think being accepted to ARENA is a strong signal, and I would like to see proactive independent researchers being encouraged in their pursuits (by money or otherwise)

I'd like to see more elaboration on the budget, e.g. for how long do you see yourself working independently, how much do you expect to need per month, and what is going to happen if you don't receive funding.

Jacques Thibodeau - Independent AI Safety Research
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

Jacques has already produced an impressive amount of work, and some people in Nonlinear Network were excited to see him funded.

I don't feel qualified to assess the importance of the current project proposal, it would be really nice if more informed people commented on this.

I'll offer 1000$ donation as a token of appreciation and hope to attract more attention to this application.

Discovering latent goals (mechanistic interpretability PhD salary)
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

  • I'm impressed by Lucy's background

  • Some people in Nonlinear Network funding round were excited for Lucy to be funded

  • I want promissing people not to be held back by shortage of money for day to day expenses

    So, I'm upvoting this application and offering 1000$ donation to provide more visibility to it

Berlin EAGx Art Exhibit: SEE VIDEO Of completed piece!
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

Jeffrey, thank you for aiming to improve EAGx!

Do I understand correctly, that it's not an EA related art, but general art that would aim to make an experience of attendees better? If so, I think current funders of the conference are good people to reach out to for funding: what did they say?

I'd be excited to fund EA inspired art, since I share Austin's opinion that EA could be better in this regard

As a note, I'd be more willing to fund more concrete expenses, once you have a budget for the exhibition, funding it all "in general", since it's hard to gauge how much money would be needed and what they would buy.

[deleted]
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

Ambitious goal and a clear plan! I loved the analysis of Yale in the google doc. I hope you'll get funded

Enable communities to cure PTSD in children after state failure
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

Could you provide some cost benefit analysis here? E.g. how many children were treated based on the 35k the ACT spent last year, and how did you measure the effect of the treatment?

Recreate the cavity-preventing GMO bacteria BCS3-L1 from precursor
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

+1 to @Austin. I'd be more excited to see it as an investment instead of a grant

Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Research
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

almost 2 years ago

@josephbloom, would you stop this project if you get hired by DeepMind, or you're expecting to continue it as a part of the job?

Implement a Small-Group Futarchy App
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 2 years ago

Implement a Small-Group Futarchy App
AntonMakiievskyi avatar

Anton Makiievskyi

about 2 years ago

How is this different from a default manifold market?

Transactions

ForDateTypeAmount
<e9362a95-cbec-4685-b179-91b4c5ba4edc>8 days agotip1
11th edition of AI Safety Camp3 months agoproject donation20000
Manifund Bank3 months agodeposit+21000
10th edition of AI Safety Camp4 months agoproject donation2600
Metaculus x Givewell Forecasting Tournament5 months agoproject donation1000
Shallow review of AI safety 20246 months agoproject donation1000
Elizabeth and Timothy Podcast on values in Effective Altruism (Funded)6 months agoproject donation1300
Fund Sentinel for Q1-20257 months agoproject donation500
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and prompts7 months agouser to user trade50
80,000 Hours8 months agoproject donation50
Giving What We Can8 months agoproject donation500
Making 52 AI Alignment Video Explainers and Podcasts9 months agoproject donation50
Lightcone Infrastructure9 months agoproject donation200
Manifund Bank9 months agodeposit+400
Start an online editorial journal focusing on paradigm development in psychiatry and psychology9 months agouser to user trade+5000
Effective Giving in New Zealand11 months agoproject donation25000
Support a thriving and talented community of Filipino EAs12 months agoproject donation10750
Manifund Bank12 months agodeposit+30000
A Happier World (YouTube channel promoting EA ideas)about 1 year agoproject donation2000
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and promptsabout 1 year agouser to user trade250
Start an online editorial journal focusing on paradigm development in psychiatry and psychologyabout 1 year agouser to user trade5000
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and promptsabout 1 year agouser to user trade500
Publish a book on Egan education for parentsabout 1 year agouser to user trade1250
Publish a book on Egan education for parentsabout 1 year agouser to user trade3000
Distribute HPMOR copies in Bangalore, Indiaabout 1 year agouser to user trade50
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agowithdraw12000
Platform for migrants to start legal & profitable microbusinesses.about 1 year agouser to user trade250
Educate the public about high impact causesabout 1 year agouser to user trade1500
Database of the Most Impactful Research Questions by Discipline and Cause Areaabout 1 year agouser to user trade365
Build an app to track ones impact on animal crueltyabout 1 year agouser to user trade498
Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liabilityabout 1 year agouser to user trade2500
Platform for migrants to start legal & profitable microbusinesses.about 1 year agouser to user trade3000
Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and promptsabout 1 year agouser to user trade234
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agowithdraw5000
<7753ac32-b0ba-4276-9fd0-62cc9356f369>about 1 year agotip+1
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agodeposit+30000
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agowithdraw30003
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agodeposit+30003
<f94b1592-d38d-45e1-8f24-0f5e21aa354f>about 1 year agotip1
Making 52 AI Alignment Video Explainers and Podcastsabout 1 year agoproject donation5000
Manifund Bankabout 1 year agodeposit+20010
Making 52 AI Alignment Video Explainers and Podcastsabout 1 year agoproject donation1942
Anton Makiievskyiover 1 year agocash to charity transfer159
<6a7b8e55-d580-40fc-b357-a713f428c9b2>over 1 year agoprofile donation100000
Manifund Bankover 1 year agodeposit+100000
Isaac's Blog Writingover 1 year agouser to user trade300
Manifold merch storeover 1 year agouser to user trade140
Telegram bot for Manifold Marketsover 1 year agouser to user trade+159
Anton Makiievskyiover 1 year agocash to charity transfer1200
Run five international hackathons on AI safety researchover 1 year agoproject donation2000
Run five international hackathons on AI safety researchover 1 year agoproject donation3000
<647c9b3c-65ce-40cf-9464-ac02c741aacd>over 1 year agoprofile donation100
Anton Makiievskyiover 1 year agocash to charity transfer100
Discovering latent goals (mechanistic interpretability PhD salary)over 1 year agoproject donation1000
Alignment Is Hardalmost 2 years agoproject donation1000
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Researchalmost 2 years agoproject donation790
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Researchalmost 2 years agoproject donation10
Joseph Bloom - Independent AI Safety Researchalmost 2 years agoproject donation200
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer2000
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer3000
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer1000
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer1000
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer1000
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer700
Manifund Bankalmost 2 years agodeposit+10000
Anton Makiievskyialmost 2 years agocash to charity transfer323
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) timelines ignore the social factor at their perilabout 2 years agouser to user trade500
Telegram bot for Manifold Marketsabout 2 years agouser to user trade707
Manifund Bankabout 2 years agodeposit+1000
Manifund Bankabout 2 years agodeposit+530