[original EA Forum post // by porby]

For the openphil competition, I decided to do a pretty big edit. The new version focuses on timelines alone and includes some improved/updated arguments, plus a big new section that is unfortunately redacted.

A pdf version (updated as of May 29, 2023) can be viewed here:

Why I think strong general AI is coming soon REDACTED.pdf

If this link stops working, please let me know on lesswrong.