@ScottAlexander
$2,367 in pending offers
| For | Date | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manifund Bank | about 1 year ago | deposit | +9960 |
| Scott Alexander | about 1 year ago | cash to charity transfer | 4389 |
| Manifund Bank | about 1 year ago | deposit | +86688 |
| OPTIC | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 2022 |
| Telegram bot for Manifold Markets | over 1 year ago | user to user trade | 75 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 732 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1751 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 100 |
| Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 225 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 105 |
| Telegram bot for Manifold Markets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 20 |
| Manifold Markets Add-on for Google Sheets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 151 |
| Manifold feature to improve non-resolving popularity markets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 219 |
| Crystal Ballin' Podcast | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Crystal Ballin' Podcast | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 19 |
| Subsidize Real Money Prediction Markets on High Impact Topics | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 36 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 2101 |
| Manifold feature to improve non-resolving popularity markets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 75 |
| Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 2101 |
| Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1360 |
| Crystal Ballin' Podcast | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 270 |
| OPTIC | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 6083 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 3 of 3: Earthquake Risk | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 63 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 1 of 3: College Majors | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 125 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 2 of 3: Hurricane Hazards | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 10 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 0 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 5 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 5 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 228 |
| Comparing forecasting platform accuracy | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 267 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 240 |
| Interpretable Forecasting with Transformers | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 63 |
| OPTIC | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 920 |
| Impact Assessment of Social Programs | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 500 |
| Standardized Tools for Impact Market Reporting | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 34 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 1 of 3: College Majors | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 63 |
| A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 104 |
| Subsidize Real Money Prediction Markets on High Impact Topics | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 6 |
| Manifold feature to improve non-resolving popularity markets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 6 |
| Manifold Markets Add-on for Google Sheets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 9 |
| Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1 |
| Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 188 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 1 of 3: College Majors | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 63 |
| Comparing forecasting platform accuracy | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 1 |
| Forecast Dissemination Mini-Market 3 of 3: Earthquake Risk | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 33 |
| Comparing forecasting platform accuracy | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 406 |
| Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 225 |
| Telegram bot for Manifold Markets | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 159 |
| Provide Rationality / EA Education at University of Maryland | almost 2 years ago | user to user trade | 7500 |
| Manifund Bank | almost 2 years ago | deposit | +31125 |